Jay Richards covered last weekend’s UFC on Fox 19 with a post on WagerTalk.com.
His article was succinct and well written as are most of his posts that we’ve read on that domain.
The writer seems to be well versed in sports betting in that he’s covered Soccer, NBA, NASCAR and the PGA in other posts during the past week alone.
There are a lot of great sites covering the UFC.
Sherdog.com and UFC.com are the two most used when we’re following Billy V’s (on Twitter @billvpfast) UFC #opinions.
Whether it’s posts on line, Twitter Tweets or Facebook posts the one thing we’ve noticed in the year or so that we’ve been following UFC on Sports Betting Weekly is the lack of focus on the Will Go – Won’t Go lines.
Jay’s discussion of last week’s bouts included a headline with both fighters’ records and their perspective ATS odds along with a Tale of The Tape: segment that includes a little history on both combatants. (his post says the lines are courtesy of UFC.com and that site doesn’t credit anyone with providing the lines even though we’re pretty sure the lines were established elsewhere…in case UFC.com cares)
Not a Will Go or Won’t Go to be found anywhere.
Every sports bar where we’ve watched a UFC bout has had the same result as the clock ticks by the 1½ round clock or whatever ½ round the Will Go number was set at. It’s as if not a single person realized that over in the desert at the Tropicana Las Vegas or the M Resort the windows of CG Technology were going to be cashing tickets on the “OVER” for that fight.
It seems to be the same with most of the web sites that cover UFC from a wagering perspective.
After paying attention to UFC on a regular basis covering these fights for The Sports Betting Channel we haven’t come across anyone that really talks about Will Go – Won’t Go bets. Our very own UFC Expert admits he didn’t even know they existed when he first joined our team.
Last week Billy V gave out his #opinion on 4 fights and in the bout where John Dodson was -550 the Won’t Go payoff he called in that fight was only -115. Same result with a lot less risk and it gets better. Rather than laying the -160 with Ponzinibbio he said take +160 for another Won’t Go winner. Finally his 3-1 night (including 2 underdog winners) ended in the Main Event where instead of taking the chalk (and eventual winner Teixeira) at -210 he called the Won’t Go 1½ rounds at +115 and Rashad left him with 1 round to spare.
Lots of winners but more importantly great value is what you get when your Sports Betting activity includes UFC Will Go – Won’t Go wagers.